Comparison of Predictive Models for Forecasting Building Heating Loads

نویسندگان

  • Dimitrios-Stavros Kapetanakis
  • Eleni Mangina
  • El Hassan Ridouane
  • Konstantinos Kouramas
  • Donal Finn
چکیده

This paper is concerned with the development of data-driven predictive models capable of forecasting commercial building heating loads based on BEM (Building Energy Management) systems recorded variables, as well as weather data. To address the lack of available complete datasets from actual commercial building BEM systems, a detailed representation of a reference building using EnergyPlus was implemented as a benchmark. Data analysis of the simulated results is used to detect relationships between variables and select input variables for the predictive models. Various regression and machine learning models are investigated for their ability to forecast building heating loads. The most suitable model is selected by comparing the accuracy of the predictions.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Methodology for Commercial Buildings Thermal Loads Predictive Models Based on Simulation Performance

Commercial buildings incorporate Building Energy Management Systems (BEMS) to monitor indoor environment conditions as well as controlling Heating Ventilation and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems. Measurements of temperature, humidity and energy consumption are typically stored within BEMS. These measurements include underlying information regarding building thermal response, which is crucial fo...

متن کامل

Which Methodology is Better for Combining Linear and Nonlinear Models for Time Series Forecasting?

Both theoretical and empirical findings have suggested that combining different models can be an effective way to improve the predictive performance of each individual model. It is especially occurred when the models in the ensemble are quite different. Hybrid techniques that decompose a time series into its linear and nonlinear components are one of the most important kinds of the hybrid model...

متن کامل

Comparative study between dynamic transient and degree-hours methods to estimate heating and cooling loads of building’s wall

In this paper, dynamic transient method and conventional degree-hours method (static) have been compared to estimate heating and cooling loads of building’s wall. All main wall surfaces of various orientations, i.e.South, West, East, North, and horizontal are considered in the climate of Tehran, Iran. In this study, a conventional wall structure, which is comprisedconcrete as main wall material...

متن کامل

AN EXTENDED FUZZY ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS MODEL FOR TIME SERIES FORECASTING

Improving time series forecastingaccuracy is an important yet often difficult task.Both theoretical and empirical findings haveindicated that integration of several models is an effectiveway to improve predictive performance, especiallywhen the models in combination are quite different. In this paper,a model of the hybrid artificial neural networks andfuzzy model is proposed for time series for...

متن کامل

Comparing the performance of GARCH (p,q) models with different methods of estimation for forecasting crude oil market volatility

The use of GARCH models to characterize crude oil price volatility is widely observed in the empirical literature. In this paper the efficiency of six univariate GARCH models and two methods of estimation the parameters for forecasting oil price volatility are examined and the best method for forecasting crude oil price volatility of Brent market is determined. All the examined models in this p...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2016